Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.032962 0.038816 0.044896 0.051644 0.058888 0.066399 0.074744
2025-11-02 0.024005 0.032388 0.041658 0.052490 0.064638 0.077705 0.092692
2025-11-09 0.017808 0.027467 0.038787 0.052598 0.068622 0.086324 0.107080
2025-11-16 0.012456 0.022413 0.034841 0.050660 0.069597 0.091011 0.116586
2025-11-23 0.008566 0.018384 0.031487 0.048866 0.070267 0.094960 0.124909
2025-11-30 0.006575 0.016525 0.030568 0.049787 0.073943 0.102209 0.136850
2025-12-07 0.005137 0.015165 0.030092 0.051095 0.077953 0.109746 0.149037
2025-12-14 0.004201 0.014403 0.030308 0.053197 0.082869 0.118302 0.162370
2025-12-21 0.003137 0.013125 0.029620 0.053985 0.086052 0.124718 0.173136
2025-12-28 0.003008 0.013642 0.031590 0.058354 0.093767 0.136610 0.190385
2026-01-04 0.001836 0.011573 0.029413 0.056913 0.093968 0.139305 0.196654
2026-01-11 0.001290 0.010691 0.028986 0.057823 0.097140 0.145588 0.207170
2026-01-18 0.000738 0.009489 0.027992 0.057990 0.099480 0.151044 0.216963
2026-01-25 0.000419 0.008730 0.027674 0.059109 0.103088 0.158109 0.228760
2026-02-01 0.000155 0.007710 0.026758 0.059270 0.105372 0.163494 0.238507
2026-02-08 0.000002 0.006101 0.024475 0.057215 0.104557 0.164896 0.243323
2026-02-15 NaN 0.004743 0.022395 0.055304 0.103823 0.166319 0.248098
2026-02-22 NaN 0.004304 0.022180 0.056286 0.107049 0.172765 0.259033
2026-03-01 NaN 0.004006 0.022236 0.057681 0.110836 0.179924 0.270844
2026-03-08 NaN 0.003934 0.022813 0.059920 0.115807 0.188607 0.284546
2026-03-15 NaN 0.003547 0.022555 0.060759 0.118791 0.194721 0.295062
2026-03-22 NaN 0.004040 0.024572 0.065401 0.127170 0.207820 0.314259
2026-03-29 NaN 0.003162 0.022927 0.063870 0.126770 0.209541 0.319311